Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2001 - 2002 - 2003
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State Rank #5
Manchester Semi-State Rank #2
Bellmont Regional Rank #1
Woodlan Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 33.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 91.5%
Advance to State Finals 99.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
10  Alissa McKaig 11 18:37
11  Adele Mitchell 10 18:40
65  Sarah Manck 11 19:47
Kathleen Doehla 11 20:30
Erica Brace 9 20:36
Catherine Renken 10 21:07
Whitney Beeson 11 22:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.4% 6.7 210 0.6 3.5 6.2 9.8 13.6 16.4 14.2 12.2 9.1 6.1 3.6 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.3 99 15.2 48.2 27.3 6.9 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 34 90.8 9.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 40 89.6 10.3 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alissa McKaig 100% 8.8 0.9 2.5 3.7 5.4 6.8 7.0 8.4 8.5 9.1 8.1 7.1 6.6 5.6 4.6 3.6 3.1 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Adele Mitchell 100.0% 9.9 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.0 5.4 5.8 6.9 7.7 8.3 7.9 7.9 7.4 6.6 5.7 5.0 3.8 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 96.8% 100.0%
Sarah Manck 99.4% 55.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0% 15.4%
Kathleen Doehla 99.4% 99.2 0.0% 0.0%
Erica Brace 99.4% 106.8 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Renken 99.4% 135.6 0.0% 0.0%
Whitney Beeson 99.4% 161.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alissa McKaig 100% 2.6 16.1 21.6 20.8 16.5 10.6 6.7 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Adele Mitchell 100% 3.1 9.5 17.7 20.6 18.6 12.9 8.4 5.4 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Manck 100% 21.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.8 3.6 3.6 4.7 5.3 5.6 6.3 6.3 6.0 6.2 5.8 5.7 5.0 99.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alissa McKaig 100% 1.0 56.3 37.8 4.6 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Adele Mitchell 100% 1.2 39.2 52.2 6.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Manck 100% 7.5 0.8 2.9 5.4 10.7 17.0 27.3 19.1 9.1 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alissa McKaig 1.0 57.7 37.3 4.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
Adele Mitchell 1.2 38.1 53.3 6.9 1.4 0.3 0.0
Sarah Manck 6.5 1.3 4.6 9.7 18.8 31.9 20.4 7.7 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0